Macro Ecoomics Assignment 2015

III. When you
net all the effects of the shocks you are considering, how would you
characterize your projection for GDP growth in 2015:?
(a) near your estimate of long-run potential growth?
(b) somewhat
below your estimate of long-run potential growth
(c) somewhat
above your estimate of long-run potential growth
(d) substantially
below your estimate of long-run potential growth
(e) substantially
above your estimate of long-run potential growth?
Note: In answering question III you may consider
deviations of GDP from the basic model’s “fundamentals” that result from the
type of frictions assumed by New Keynesian version of our model.

IV. When you
net all the effects of the shocks you are considering, how would you
characterize your projection for inflation in 2015:
(a) near
the FOMC’s 2 percent longer-run target.?
(b) somewhat
below the FOMC’s 2 percent longer-run target
(c) somewhat
above the FOMC’s 2 percent longer-run target
(d) substantially
below the FOMC’s 2 percent longer-run target
(e) substantially
above the FOMC’s 2 percent longer-run target
Note: In answering question IV you may consider temporary
movements in measured inflation associated with changes in the level of P
required to clear the asset market.

V. When you
net all the effects of the shocks you are considering, what are the
implications for the path of the “neutral” real rate of interest? (That is, do
you expect the equilibrium real interest rate in our basic model to generally
fall, increase, or stay the same over
the forecast horizon?) Or does one
effect dominate the other?

 

 

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